Q2 2026 Update

Threat Intelligence Report

An AI model beat a commercial licensing system in under five hours, for $3.88. KasadaIQ's Q2 2026 report breaks down what's driving that cost down — and what security and fraud teams need to do about it.

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AI went from adversary experiment to adversary infrastructure in Q2.

11.7M+

stolen accounts for sale on criminal marketplaces, from 6K sellers

20.9K+

checkouts completed by bots instead of real shoppers, across 32+ brands

11.3M+

site visits from just 2 AI companies scraping content, in a single month

AI Re-Equipped the Adversary. It Didn't Create a New One.

Of 27 predictions KasadaIQ tracked for 2026, nine moved this quarter and none were refuted, clustering around AI adoption, credential markets, and bot economics. The clearest signal: an AI model cracked a commercial licensing system in under five hours, for $3.88.

The How, Not the Who or Why

AI moved the tooling layer, not the population, motivation and rationalization are unchanged, only capability has shifted.

The Barrier to Entry Is Financial, Not Technical

94% of operators rent capability rather than build it, and a newcomer can be fully operational for $400–$500.

Major Events Are Lures, Not Sources

World Cup fraud tracked the ticketing calendar, not the match schedule, the same tradecraft just redirects to the next big event.

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders portrait

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders

Prioritize the human-plus-AI risk surface, the immediate threat is humans re-tooling with AI at speed.

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders portrait

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders

Plan for fraud enabling as a permanent condition, the real leverage sits at the infrastructure and payment-rail layers.

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders portrait

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders

Prioritize the human-plus-AI risk surface, the immediate threat is humans re-tooling with AI at speed.

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders portrait

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders

Break solutions faster than operators can re-rent them; resets degrade service across the whole buyer tier.

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders portrait

KasadaIQ - Considerations for Defenders

Prioritize the human-plus-AI risk surface, the immediate threat is humans re-tooling with AI at speed.

About the Data

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